Trade Ideas Newsletter 09/16/2016

NFX is positioned for a contrarian breakdown

Based on the above analysis in NFX, traders should verify that their portfolio can handle increased risk from an additional position. Also ensure that NFX improves diversification in your current portfolio. Lastly, clever traders check how a new position matches up with not just their account, but the previaling market action as well. For example, take a look at the S&P 500. Is it moving to the upside or downside? Has it recently broken a key ceiling or floor? Be sure to line up your trading actions on NFX with the trend in the overall market.


Right now the proprietary sentiment levels, calculated by Traders For Wealth, indicate an suprisingly positive bias toward NFX. However, the price action in NFX has been moving down contrary to the sentiment. This could be a strong sign of an impending contrarian breakdown. Traders should view this as a bearish position and make sure it is confirmed by overall market action, and in line with their current portfolio.

Newfield Exploration Company (NFX)

Newfield Exploration Company is an independent energy company engaged in the exploration, development and production of crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGLs). The Company’s operations are focused primarily on large scale, onshore liquids-rich resource plays in the United States. Its segments are the United States and China. Its principal areas of operation are the Anadarko and Arkoma Basins of Oklahoma, the Williston Basin of North Dakota, the Uinta Basin of Utah and the Maverick, and Gulf Coast basins of Texas. In addition, it has oil developments offshore China. Its proved reserves of over 510 million barrels of oil equivalents (MMBOE) consist of over 310 MMBOE proved developed producing, 20 MMBOE proved developed non-producing and 180 MMBOE proved undeveloped reserves. Its proved liquids reserves are over 290 million barrels. Over 71% of its proved liquid reserves are crude oil or condensate. Its proved natural gas reserves are over 1,305 billion cubic feet (Bcf).