Trade Ideas Newsletter 06/03/2016

AVB is positioned for a contrarian breakdown

Based on the above analysis in AVB, traders should verify that their portfolio can handle increased risk from an additional position. Also ensure that AVB improves diversification in your current portfolio. Lastly, clever traders check how a new position matches up with not just their account, but the previaling market action as well. For example, take a look at the S&P 500. Is it moving to the upside or downside? Has it recently broken a key ceiling or floor? Be sure to line up your trading actions on AVB with the trend in the overall market.

CHART

Right now the proprietary sentiment levels, calculated by Traders For Wealth, indicate an suprisingly positive bias toward AVB. However, the price action in AVB has been moving down contrary to the sentiment. This could be a strong sign of an impending contrarian breakdown. Traders should view this as a bearish position and make sure it is confirmed by overall market action, and in line with their current portfolio.

Avalonbay Communities (AVB)

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a real estate investment trust. The Company focuses on the development, redevelopment, acquisition, ownership and operation of multifamily communities primarily in New England, the New York/New Jersey metro area, the Mid-Atlantic, the Pacific Northwest, and Northern and Southern California. It operates through segments, which include Established Communities, Other Stabilized Communities and Development/Redevelopment Communities. It owns or holds an interest in approximately 260 operating apartment communities containing over 75,380 apartment homes in approximately 10 states and the District of Columbia, of which over 10 communities containing approximately 3,430 apartment homes are under reconstruction. It operates its apartment communities under three core brands: Avalon, AVA and Eaves by Avalon. The real estate investments consist of operating apartment communities, communities in various stages of development and Development Rights.