Stocks Mixed, Dow Jones Leads, Oil Strong; Time To Sell Microsoft, Intel? – Investor's Business Daily

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Banking and oil stocks helped fuel light gains for some key indexes Monday, but the Nasdaq got weighed down by a broad decline in large and mega-cap techs.

XAutoplay: On | OffThe Dow Jones industrial average gained more than 0.6% despite poor performances by two of its tech components, Intel (INTC) (down 0.9%) and Microsoft (MSFT) (off 1.1%). Strength in names such as JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Goldman Sachs (GS) and Chevron (CVX) helped offset the slide in tech land.

The S&P 500 gained 0.2% while the Nasdaq composite sank 0.5%. The Nasdaq 100 slid 0.9% during the July 4th holiday-shortened session. U.S. markets will be closed Tuesday for Independence Day.

Small caps did the best during Monday’s 3-1/2-hour trading session. The S&P SmallCap 600 rallied nearly 0.9%; the Russell 2000 added 0.8%.

In other markets, crude oil continued last week’s surprising rebound as WTI futures jumped 1.7% to $46.81 a barrel, the highest level since June 6.

Not surprisingly, among IBD’s 197 industry groups, oil and gas machinery, oil field services, drilling and international exploration and production firms led the upside; these industry groups shot up 2.8% or higher.

Intel has been struggling since it fell more than 2% on June 9 and took out its 50- and 200-day moving averages in the process. Since then, the former leader during the 1990s tech bull market has fallen 13% from a 52-week high of 38.45.

As seen in IBD Stock Checkup, Intel gets a lowly D- Accumulation/Distribution Rating, meaning that over the past 13 weeks, institutions are likely net sellers in the stock.

Intel looked poised for a solid rally on Jan. 24, when shares cleared a 15-week cup-with-handle base at 37.44. The stock rose 2.3% that day to 37.62, in volume that jumped 82% above average. However, Intel’s rally lasted just three days; by early February, the mega-cap semiconductor play dropped below its 50-day line (drawn in red, as seen in the daily chart above).

While that decline on Feb. 9 had not yet triggered the golden sell rule, it was a clear indication that Intel’s stock action was not behaving the way you’d expect following a solid breakout.

Eventually, Intel triggered the 7%-8% loss-cutting sell rule on March 14, when shares hit an intraday low of 34.66.

Microsoft is in less worse shape. The business software, cloud computing and Xbox firm is just 6% below its 52-week peak but is struggling to retake its 50-day moving average in recent sessions.

Notice on a daily chart, however, that unlike Intel, Microsoft has a big air cushion above its rising 200-day line.


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